Q1 2018

Q1 2018

@MarkFord
em 07/08/2018 23:21
For the three months ended March 31, 2018:

Net revenue increased 11.1% to $275.7 million for the first quarter of 2018, compared to $248.2 million for the first quarter of 2017.
End-of-period enrollment increased 9.6% to 91,378 at March 31, 2018, from 83,352 at March 31, 2017, as ground enrollment increased 9.6% to 17,386 at March 31, 2018, from 15,857 at March 31, 2017 and online enrollment increased 9.6% to 73,992 at March 31, 2018, from 67,495 at March 31, 2017.
Operating income for the three months ended March 31, 2018 was $90.1 million, an increase of 17.6% as compared to $76.6 million for the same period in 2017. The operating margin for the three months ended March 31, 2018 was 32.7%, compared to 30.9% for the same period in 2017.
The tax rate in the three months ended March 31, 2018 was 18.8% compared to 26.5% in the same period in 2017. The lower effective tax rate year over year is a result of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (the "Act") which was signed into law on December 22, 2017. The Act reduces the corporate federal tax rate from a maximum of 35% to a flat 21% rate effective January 1, 2018. Additionally, the University continues to benefit from the adoption of the share-based compensation standard, which resulted in the recognition of excess tax benefits from share-based compensation awards that vested or settled in the consolidated income statement. Excess tax benefits recorded for the three months ended March 31, 2018 and 2017 were $5.3 million and $8.5 million, respectively. The inclusion of excess tax benefits and deficiencies as a component of our income tax expense will increase volatility within our provision for income taxes as the amount of excess tax benefits or deficiencies from share-based compensation awards are dependent on our stock price at the date the restricted awards vest, our stock price on the date an option is exercised, and the quantity of options exercised.
Net income increased 31.8% to $73.7 million for the first quarter of 2018, compared to $55.9 million for the same period in 2017.
Diluted net income per share was $1.52 for the first quarter of 2018, compared to $1.16 for the same period in 2017.
Adjusted EBITDA increased 16.2% to $108.0 million for the first quarter of 2018, compared to $92.9 million for the same period in 2017.

Grand Canyon Education, Inc. Reports First Quarter 2018 Results | Grand Canyon Education
@MarkFord
em 07/08/2018 23:28
Brian Mueller - Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer
Brian Mueller
Good afternoon. And thank you for joining Grand Canyon University’s first quarter 2018 conference call. In the first quarter of 2018, enrollments grew by 9.6% and revenues grew by 11.1%. New working adult students attending our online campus grew in the mid single digits year-over-year. Operating margins are at 32.7% for the quarter. I want to thank our faculty and staff for another great quarter.
As you know, our long-term goals are to grow enrollments 7% to 8% on an annual basis. 6% to 7% will come from online enrollments and the rest from our ground campus. Revenues will grow 8% to 9% primarily as a result of continued retention increases, traditional campus enrollment becoming a higher percentage of the total and the growth of ancillary revenues through new businesses.
The room and board payments of ground students, even though according to the college board they are 30% less than the average cost of room and public universities and 38% less than the average cost at private universities continue to drive up the annual revenue per student number. We began the 2017-18 academic year with approximately 19,000 students on our campus. Last Thursday and Saturday, we had eight graduation ceremonies and had nearly 60,000 people on campus for the three day period. 9,009 students graduated in the spring semester, and we estimate for 2018 calendar year approximately 21,500 students will graduate.
This group will join our Alumni group, which is now over 141,000. Most of these graduates will contribute at increasing levels to the economy as they forward in their careers. It is also significant to note that we dont receive tax subsidies from the state are on track to pay nearly $100 million in total taxes for the year, and yet according to The Institute for College Access & Success. Our students graduate with less debt than the average public university students on less debt than the average private university student.
The relatively low student debt amounts are due to three core strategies; one, our commitment to dual credit enrollment, which results in students transferring in college credits earned while they are in high school; two, students taking courses online in the summer; three, we haven't raised tuition on a traditional campus in 10 years, including our upcoming academic year. Three strategies have resulted in over 54% of our traditional students who graduate doing so in three years.
In addition, these three factors combined with a growing reputation of our academic programs the new very modern campus, which was ranked 8th best campus in the country by niche.com, and the strong sense of community on campus makes GCU a very attractive proposition value preposition to families. Last year at this time, we had 26,438 applications for the fall semester on our traditional campus. This year we have 29,019, which is up 10%. We expect about 7,250 new students, which would bring the total students on campus to 20,500.
The average incoming GPAs of the newly accepted students is about 3.5, 50% are studying in a natural sciences, engineering and technology. We expect that online campus to grow between 6% and 7% on an annual basis. 14% of our new online students in the past two years are enrolled in new programs rolled out in the last two years. Managing the quality of both student bodies has been a very important part of our strategy. I will talk in a minute about our not-for-profit strategy. Before I do, I want to make clear this strategy has nothing to do with current regulations imposed by the DOE and core profit institutions. Our 90/10 number is now down to 71.5%. None of our programs failed to gain good employment guidelines mainly because of our low tuition rates.
Tuition on our traditional campus hasn't been raised in ten years, including the upcoming academic year. And we have generally not raised tuition for our working adult students. We anticipate the cohort default rate for the most recently completed cohort will be approximately 6.5%. On March 5, 2018, the HLC notified University that it’d approve the change of control application that it is filed in connection with the proposed transaction. The approval is subject to customer conditions, including as there’ll no material changes prior to the closing of the proposed transaction as presented in the application, and at new GCU post an HLC evaluation within six months following the closing.
In addition on April 26, 2018, the Arizona State Board for private co-secondary education also approved the University's supplemental license application for a change of ownership and control effective upon the closing of the proposed transaction. University has also filed a pre-acquisition review application with the United States Department of Education, and is currently awaiting a response.
University continues to review various regulatory issues that could impact the viability of the sale of the University's academic related assets; real estate and related intangibles to a newly formed as not for profit corporation, new GCU; as a means of enabling new GCU to conduct itself as a traditional not profit university; consistent with the University's history in a level playing field with other traditional universities with regards to tax status and among other things; the ability to accept philanthropic contributions, pursue research grant opportunities and participate in MCA governance. That review is not completed at this time.
The University does not intend to execute any definitive agreements until issues have been evaluated and resolved in University's satisfaction. At this time, GCE and new GCU have entered into a non-binding letter of intent. University is continuing to prepare for the possibility of the transaction occurring, including allocating employees to new GCU, financial modeling and planning asset transfer processes.
If the proposed transaction is ultimately consummated in various aspects the University's operations would change in important ways. These changes include, but are not limited to, the following; our academic and related operations in assets, as well as approximately 35% of our full-time employees and substantially all of our part-time employees and student workers, would transfer to new GCU. Following this transfer, it longer own and operate a regulated institution of higher education, but would instead provide a bundle of services in support of new GCUs operations. This is a very common practice in higher education today.
New GCU would be a separate non-profit entity, under the control of an independent Board of Trustees and independent management. Accordingly, our relationship with new GCU, both pursuant to the shared services arrangement and operationally, would no longer be as owner and operator but as third party contract provider. While we believe this relationship would remain strong, new GCU's Board of Trustees and management would have fiduciary and other duties that would require us focus on the best interests of new GCU.
Initially all of our revenue would be derived pursuant to the shared services arrangement with new GCU. Accordingly, new GCU's ability to continue to increase its enrollment and tuition and fee revenue, and our ability to continue to perform the services necessary to enable new GCU to do so, would be critical to the success of our service business.
It’s anticipated that the consideration payable by new GCU for the acquired assets, which will be material, will be in the form of a long-term secured note. Our ability to realize the negotiated value of the acquired assets would be subject to new GCU's performance, and its ability to pay amounts due under the secured note as they come due.
Now, turning to the results of operations. Net revenues were $275.7 million in the first quarter 2018, an increase of $27.5 million or 11.1% from $242 million in the prior year period. Operating margin for quarter one 2018 was 32.7% in the first quarter compared to 30.9% for the same period 2017. Net income was $73.7 million for the first quarter of 2018 compared to $55.9 million in the prior year period. After-tax margin was 26.7% compared to 22.5% for the same period in 2017.
Instructional costs and services grew from $102.6 million in the first quarter of 2017 to $111 million in the first quarter of 2018, an increase of $8.4 million or 8.2%. This increase was primarily due to increases in faculty compensation, employee compensation and related expenses due to the increase in a number of staff and faculty to support the increasing number of students attending University, and increased benefit cost between years.
In addition, we had an increase in dues, fee, subscriptions and other instructional supplies between years, primarily due to increased licensing fees related to educational resources, and the increased food costs associated with the higher number of residential students. And we continue to see an increase in occupancy costs including depreciation and amortization as a result of us placing into service additional buildings, especially laboratory intensive stem buildings, to support the growing number of ground for additional students.
As a percent of revenue IC&S decreased 100 basis points to 40.3%, primarily due to our ability to leverage our instructional costs and services expenses across an increasing revenue base. Bad debt expensed a flat at 180 basis points year-over-year. Admissions advisory and related expenses as a percentage of revenue decreased to 30 basis points to 12.6% from 12.9%, primarily due to our ability to leverage our admissions advisory personnel across an increasing revenue base.
Advertising expenses, as a percent of net revenue, decreased to 60 basis points from 9.9% in quarter one of 2017 to 9.3% quarter one of 2018. General and administrative expenses, as a percent of revenue, increased 10 basis points to 4.1% in quarter one of 2018 from 4% in quarter one 2017. This increase was primarily due to increases at legal and other professional costs incurred, primarily as a result of our consideration of a not-for-profit entity conversion.
With that, I would like to turn over to Dan Bachus, our CFO, to give a little more color on our 2018 first quarter, talk about changes in the income statement, balance sheet and other items, as well as to provide updated guidance for 2018.

Grand Canyon Education's (LOPE) CEO Brian Mueller on Q1 2018 Results - Earnings Call Transcript - lope | Seeking Alpha
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@MarkFord
em 07/08/2018 23:33
Dan Bachus - Chief Financial Officer
Thanks, Brian. Revenue slightly exceeded our expectations in the first quarter of 2018, primarily due to higher ancillary revenues. Revenue per student also increased between years due to a favorable shift and the timing of our residential campus start dates, as the spring 2018 semester started one day earlier in 2018 than in 2017.
Online revenue per student was down slightly year-over-year due to a slight increase in the online scholarship percentage. Scholarships as a percentage of revenue for all students decreased from 18% in Q1 2017 to 17.9% in Q1 2018 due primarily to the decrease in ground scholarships as a percentage of revenue year-over-year, partially offset by the increase in online scholarships as a percentage of revenue.
Bad debt expense as a percentage of revenue stayed flat year-over-year as Brain discussed at 1.8%. Our effective tax rate for the first quarter of 2018 was 18.8% compared to 26.5% in the first quarter of 2017. The lower effective tax rate year-over-year is a result of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which was signed into law on December 22, 2017. The act reduces the corporate federal tax rate from a maximum of 35% to a flat 21% rate effective January 01, 2018.
In addition, excess tax benefits of $5.3 million and $8.5 million from share-based compensation awards that vested or settled in the first quarter of 2008 and 2017 respectively was recognized. The 18.8% effective tax rate was lower than our estimated rate of 21.7% as the excess tax benefit amount in the first quarter was greater than we expected due to the higher stock price at the restricted stock vesting date, which occurs in that quarter each year. This lower rate contributed approximately $0.05 of the earnings beat this quarter.
We purchased 5,379 shares of our common stock in the first quarter of 2018 at a cost of approximately $0.5 million. We had $97.2 million available under our share repurchase authorization as of March 31, 2018.
Turning to the balance sheet and cash flows, total cash unrestricted and restricted and short-term investments at March 31, 2018, was $407.6 million. Cash receivable net of the allowance for doubtful accounts was $9.5 million at March 31, 2018, which represents 3.5 day sales outstanding compared to $8.4 million or 3.4 day sales outstanding at the end of the first quarter of 2017.
CapEx in the first quarter of 2018, excluding our offsite development of $0.2 million, was approximately $35.2 million or 12.8% of net revenue. We elected not to renew our revolving line of credit of $150 million which expired on December 31, 2017, which resulted in lower quarterly interest expense in Q1 2018 as compared to prior year.
Last, I would like to provide color on the updated guidance we have provided for the rest of 2018. We have raised full year 2018 revenue and earnings guidance due to the first quarter beat. We have reaffirmed enrollment revenue and earnings guidance for the rest of 2018.
Our enrollment guidance continues to assume mid to single digit online new start growth. Our guidance assumes a slight increase in retention and an increase in graduates between years of approximately 13%. The significant retention gains we have seen in recent years and the continued shift to a higher percentage of graduate students continues to result in year-over-year increases in graduate that exceed our total enrollment growth rate.
We estimate our total ground enrollment, which is ground traditional and professional study students, to be 6, 000 in summer, 20,500 in the fall and 20,300 at year end. The summer and fall semester start one day earlier in 2018 and in 2017, pushing revenue from Q2 to Q1 from Q3 to Q2 and from Q4 to Q3. The 2018 Christmas break has the net impact of pushing two days of revenue from 2018 to 2019. We estimate the effects of these changes are $1 million of less revenue in Q2, $1.1 million of more revenue in Q3 and $1.6 million of less revenue in Q4. The net loss of revenue of $1.4 million for the year is related to the timing of the online Christmas breaks.
We’ve increased our full year operating margin guidance, primarily due to the higher-than-expected first quarter margin. Although, some of the higher than forecasted margin in the first quarter was due to timing differences and when certain spend will occur, we have not adjusted the margins for future quarters as we continue to see leverage in other areas. We continue to believe that our effective tax rate, excluding contributions made in lieu of state income taxes, will be 24.4% in Q2, 24.6% in Q3 and 25.3% in Q4.
The lower rate in Q1 is due to the majority of restricted stock vesting occurs in that quarter each year. As contribution in lieu of state income taxes is made in the third quarter of 2018, it will have the effect of increasing general and administrative expenses and decreasing income tax expense. Although, we might repurchase additional shares during 2018, these estimates do not assume repurchases.
Grand Canyon Education's (LOPE) CEO Brian Mueller on Q1 2018 Results - Earnings Call Transcript - lope | Seeking Alpha
#2 de 3
@MarkFord
em 07/08/2018 23:40
A Grand Canyon Education Inc (NASDAQ: LOPE) divulgou seus dados de lucros trimestrais na quarta-feira, 2 de maio. A empresa reportou lucro de US $ 1,52 por ação (EPS) no trimestre, superando a estimativa de consenso, que era de US $ 1,39, por US $ 0,13. A empresa teve receita de US $ 275,68 milhões durante o trimestre, ao passo que a estimativa de consenso era de US $ 274,13 milhões. A Grand Canyon Education teve uma margem líquida de 22,07% e um retorno sobre o patrimônio líquido de 22,00%. A receita trimestral do negócio subiu 11,1% em relação ao mesmo trimestre do ano passado. Durante o mesmo trimestre do ano anterior, o negócio gerou lucro de US $ 1,16 por ação.

NASDAQ:LOPE - Grand Canyon Education Stock Price, News, Headlines & Rumors
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